How to Prerent Energy Crisis翻译过来就是关于:怎么防御能量危机我要找几篇文章

How to Prerent Energy Crisis翻译过来就是关于:怎么防御能量危机我要找几篇文章
How to Prerent Energy Crisis
翻译过来就是关于:怎么防御能量危机
我要找几篇文章

How to Prerent Energy Crisis翻译过来就是关于:怎么防御能量危机我要找几篇文章
去www.google.com上搜索essays about how to prevent energy crisis,英文的多了去了,我做assignment都是那里找

应该是How to Prevent Energy Crisis
好文章Only major changes can prevent energy crisis

In 1973, the Nixon administration secretly prepared to take Middle Eastern oil fields by force. This was...

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应该是How to Prevent Energy Crisis
好文章Only major changes can prevent energy crisis

In 1973, the Nixon administration secretly prepared to take Middle Eastern oil fields by force. This was a result of declining U.S. oil production, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) embargo and the subsequent inflation and recession. In response, the Carter administration invested heavily in renewable energy.
This investment was cut short by Ronald Reagan, who in 1980, ripped a solar-water heater off the White House roof his first day in office. His policy would follow suit, and as a result, history will repeat itself. Oil crisis and recession are back in the news.
Actually, we knew that U.S. oil production was going to decline. In the 1950s, famed geophysicist M. King Hubbert announced that U.S. oil production would peak in the early 1970s. Oil would not run out, but as production decreased (and demand increased) oil would have to be imported from the rest of the world. Hubbert was right. The United States became dependent on imports. Hello oil embargo of 1973.
Using Hubbert抯 method, anyone with oil reserves estimates, production history, and a Gaussian regression can predict the world peak. Geologists predict an oil peak sometime between, um, right now and 2009. Even ExxonMobil抯 literature places the oil peak around 2005.
Economists will argue against this, projecting oil as a function of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), ignoring the physical constraints and using inflated reserves estimates. Inflated estimates?
In the mid-1980s, OPEC started deciding market share based on reserves estimates. As such, every single OPEC nation drastically increased their reserves estimates for a bigger piece of the pie.
But wait, there抯 more. Just a few weeks ago, Shell Oil Co. decreased reserves estimates by 20 percent, prompting the firing of its top two executives. Inflating reserves are no joke.
So the oil peak cometh, so what? Insert history here: inflation and recession. And it抯 not like we抮e going to import oil from Mars (well, we抣l see where Bush is headed with this).
So how do we recover from the inevitable recession? Three choices: Renewable energy, nuclear energy and coal or take the oil.
Unfortunately, as we now know, the latter is all too possible. As the gap between demand and supply widens, those who get oil will be the rich and well armed.
How about the second choice? In fact, this is the choice. The Bush energy plan invests heavily in nuclear and clean coal technologies, and little in renewables or energy efficiency. However, nuclear power isn抰 exactly safe. The Davis-Bessie plant in Ohio was shut down the past two years after acid nearly ate through the reactor cap.
In addition, more nuclear power means a cheaper nuclear black market for Osama and friends.
How about coal? Sure, if you like West Virginia mountaintop removal and global warming. Worst case scenarios of the affects of global warming are not pretty. And let抯 get this right, there will be no market correction to global warming. Messing up the Earth could take thousands of years to right and could cost us ourselves.
So how about renewable energy? Unfortunately, it will take years and an Apollo-sized investment to switch the country to renewables. To make that switch now, we would have had to start investing, say, back when Reagan started office. Oops.
The bad news is that we抮e discussing this too late. The good news is that we still have a choice, albeit a difficult one. We can take the oil, rely on nuclear energy and coal or begin the switch to renewables.
The choice will be reflected in personal habits and political votes. We should take time here to reflect on history, and get the lesson right this time.
By the way, gas prices could hit $3.50 this summer. Get used to it.

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